Re: [LEAPSECS] Where the responsibility lies

From: Poul-Henning Kamp <>
Date: Wed, 04 Jan 2006 07:36:17 +0100

In message <20060104004053.GC2021_at_feynman>, Neal McBurnett writes:
>On Tue, Jan 03, 2006 at 08:32:08PM +0100, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:
>> If we can increase the tolerance to 10sec, IERS can give us the
>> leapseconds with 20 years notice and only the minority of computers
>> that survive longer than that would need to update the factory
>> installed table of leapseconds.
>Do you have any evidence for this assertion?

It is an educated guess.

The IERS have already indicated that they belive they could do prediction
under the 0.9 second tolerance with two or three year horizon.

>Anyone have a prediction algorithm in mind, and a result of running it
>on the last several decades or centuries of data?

Makes a great subject for science, doesn't it ?


Poul-Henning Kamp       | UNIX since Zilog Zeus 3.20
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Received on Tue Jan 03 2006 - 22:47:28 PST

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